Tuesday, 9 March 2010

Question on History signals Part 3


So the end result, was ONE short trade (not three) that resulted in a nice +3.8R Profit (ignoring slippage and commission) on the close.

So again, History Signals should be viewed and thought of as “filled” trades and not “failed” trades.....

Thanks, Steve

Question on History signals Part 2


As you can see, we got three possible sell signals late in the day on this 3min YM chart, two history signals and one TS4 sell, so is that three trades ?

No, if you see the help video:
p://www.mtpredictor.com/help/videos/65-history2/65-history2.html

You will see that once we place the Analysis on the first history signal, the short trade was filled, BUT (and this is the important part) is was NOT stopped out. So when the next two signals came up, you would already have been in a short trade.

So this means that just because you see a History triangle on a chart, it does not mean that it is a “failed” (-1R loss) trade, all it means is that it is a “filled” trade. You should then place the Analysis on to see how it would have been managed.....

Thanks, Steve

Question on History signals


Hi Everybody.

Here is a question I get a lot, and it is to do with the History Signals that are in MTPredictor v6.5.

Sometimes we can get “double tops” or double bottoms that can shift the pivot lines along, this then places a history triangle on the chart. So the question (please see the chart) is whether these are actually filled and then failed trades, or what do they mean ?

Thanks

Steve

Monday, 8 March 2010

+7R Profit on the 3min Dax


But now compare the ES trade (post below) to a TS3 buy on the 3min DAX at the same time............

Here the DAX rallied nicely to reach the first profited profit target, where standard traders would have banked a nice +7R Profit (ignoring slippage and commission).

This just goes to show why it is a good idea to follow more than just one market, and how the same set, at the same time, on deferent markets can work out very differently

Thanks, Steve

3min ES


Hi Everybody,

Sometimes days can just be hard work and frustrating. For example, if you look at this 3min ES chart, you can see that we got a TS3 buy at 11.42EST. But the ES just went sideways for the rest of the day, and this trade would have been ultimately closed on the close for a +2.2R Profit (ignoring slippage and commission).

Yes this was a profit, but it was certainly a frustrating trade.................. But as professional traders, we have to accept that sometime trading can be hard work. This is just life !

BTW, the reason the TS3 is shown as a “history triangle” is that the ES made a “double bottom” a few bars later, so the pivot moved over ......... But the long trade was never stopped out.

Thanks, Steve

Friday, 5 March 2010

Onto the 3min Chart


OK, now we know that we should have been focusing on the buy setups, let’s take a look at the 3min Russell Index (TF)...........

As you can see, we did get a nice TS4 buy around lunch time.....

Using the Standard trade management guidelines meant swapping to the ATRStop as the first profit target was reached (and the STF was strong). Yes, it was a bumpy ride, but the result was a nice +4R Profit (ignoring slippage and commission) on the close.

Thanks, Steve

Larger degree trend


Hi Everybody,

As usual, let’s look at the larger degree trend first.

On the 15min Russell (TF) this was up from the prior TS3 buy into its first profit target. So we should have been focusing on potential buy setups rather than sell

OK, over to the 3min Chart now

Thanks, Steve