Thursday 10 June 2010

How to avoid losses


Hi Everybody,

Yesterday was a hard day for the Standard Traders among you as there were a number of losing (-1R) trades that unfolded in the afternoon, so the question I am asked all the time is whether there is a way to avoid these losses. As I know, we all don’t like losses.......

Well, yes, and this is what I teach day after day on the Advanced Blog, and it is to use the “larger degree trend” on the 15min Charts.

I know that the STF was still blue, so the standard guidelines said to buy, but what you all need to understand (and I go into detail on this in the Trading Course), is that every indicator in the world is “lagging”. In other words it will always be “behind” a tune. We only have the STF in the program as an easy way to help newer traders get to the basic level, before they make the transition to a more advanced trader. But for the more Advanced Trader, we have WPT’s and DP’s which are “leading” in other words ahead of the turns. But you need to “learn” how to use them....

So we DO have a brilliant way to help you “anticipate” the larger degree trend, and this is why I spend so much time on this education, in the hope that once you become comfortable with the Standard setups and guidelines, you all want to take the next step and become an Advanced Trader. When you make this step not only can you avoid otherwise losing trades like these, but also additional trade opportunities open up to you.
Please now take a look at the Advanced Blog to see how all these long traders were “against” a decline off a 15min DP resistance area, so should have been avoided.

Thanks, Steve

Trail or take


Hi Everybody,

Today I would like to look at a question I ask in the Trading Course, whether it is better to simply “take profits” at profit targets, or to start to “trail” (for example 1 tick beyond bar high or lows) once a target is reached.

Well, there is no set answer, you do whichever you feel most comfortable with. As long as you stick to the same method each time.

A good example is on the 3min Russell yesterday, please see the chart, where the long off the TS3 buy reached the first target, where a nice +3.2R Profit was available. But if you were using the “1 tick trail” method, this would have help the log into the high for +6R Profit (ignoring slippage and commission).

There is no right or wrong way, just stick to the same method and don’t “chop and change”

Thanks, Steve

PS please remember that today (Thursday June 10) is rollover day for the US e-minis.